The Everywhere War

Sub-Threshold Warfare Tracker

An interactive database documenting military provocations, sabotage acts, cyberattacks, and other hybrid operations targeting European nations since 2022, based on verified open-source intelligence. It tracks Russia’s “everywhere war” – a dispersed campaign of sub-threshold warfare whose growing footprint can no longer be ignored. Each incident, taken in isolation, forms part of a wider strategy of the Russian Federation that steadily erodes security across the entire continent.

  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

SABOTAGE
0
0
/ 0
Sabotage against critical infrastructure
0
/ 0
Sabotage against economic/industrial targets
0
/ 0
Sabotage against military targets
MARITIME
0
0
/ 0
Maritime intrusion – Shadow fleet or suspicious commercial vessels
0
/ 0
Maritime intrusion – Submarines
0
Maritime intrusion – Warships
AIRSPACE
0
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Aircrafts
0
/ 0
Airspace violation – Drones
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Missiles
CYBER / EW / SPACE
0
0
/ 0
Jamming and spoofing
0
/ 0
Major cyber attack
0
/ 0
Hostile space activities
POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
0
0
/ 0
Forward military construction
0
War rehearsal / Military exercises
0
/ 0
Relocation of nuclear weapons
0
Transfer of conventional weapons and forces
0
Illegal border crossings by Russians and weaponization of migration
Country
All
Country
Incident Type
Attribution
Date Range
Date Range
Year - slider
2022 — 2026
Show Country Layers
  • Officially attributed
  • Fitting the pattern
0 0 0 incidents
  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

Lithuania
Fitting the pattern
Attempted arson attack on Startlink infrastructure critical for Ukraine.
Lithuania, Poland
Officially attributed
Drone diverted to Lithuania by Russian electronic warfare causes major security alert.
Finland, United States of America
Officially attributed
Russian military satellite Kosmos-2612 approaches Finnish-American ICEYE-X36 reconnaissance satellite.
Incidents per month

780 incidents matched. Countries: All countries. Incident types: All incident types. Attribution status: Officially attributed, Fitting the pattern. Date range: January 15, 2022 to October 18, 2026. Grouped by month.

Top 10 targeted countries by number of incidents (since 2022)

  • AIRSPACE
  • CYBER / EW / SPACE
  • MARITIME
  • POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
  • SABOTAGE
  1. Germany
    92
  2. Poland
    88
  3. Estonia
    82
  4. Lithuania
    82
  5. Latvia
    66
  6. Finland
    64
  7. Romania
    46
  8. Norway
    40
  9. Sweden
    37
  10. United Kingdom
    36
Incident Type
Attribution
DateCountryTypeAttributionDescriptionSource
18.10.2026
Lithuania
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternOn 18 October 2026, Lithuanian authorities reported an attempted arson attack against a SpaceX Starlink base station on the outskirts of Vilnius, which they described as a suspecte...
18.10.2026
Lithuania, Poland
CYBER / EW / SPACE
Officially attributedAn unidentified flying object, believed to be a drone, entered Lithuanian airspace, prompting authorities to issue a red air alert and instruct residents in central and northern Li...
18.10.2026
Finland, United States of America
CYBER / EW / SPACE
Officially attributedOn 18 October 2026, the Russian military satellite Kosmos-2612 made an unusually close approach to ICEYE-X36, a radar-imaging satellite operated by Finnish-American company ICEYE, ...
13.10.2026
Germany
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternDuring the early morning of 13 October 2026, three pilots independently reported seeing an unidentified airborne object while taking off or landing at Nuremberg Airport in Bavaria....
11.10.2026
Belgium, France, Luxembourg, Netherlands
CYBER / EW / SPACE
Fitting the patternIn October 2026, cyber incidents disrupted supermarket operations in France and the Netherlands, highlighting vulnerabilities in the food retail supply chain. In France, a cyberatt...
06.10.2026
Bulgaria
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn 6 October 2026, two commercial vessels were struck by drones in Bulgaria’s exclusive economic zone in the Black Sea, around 80 nautical miles (148 km) off the coast near Cape St...
05.10.2026
Romania
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn 5 October 2026, the Turkish-owned cargo ship Royad Mammadov, sailing under the Saint Kitts and Nevis flag, was struck by one or more drones while travelling from Izmail, Ukraine...
30.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternAt 10:26 on 30 September 2026, Moldova's integrated air-monitoring system detected a second UAV crossing national airspace near Lunga in Dubăsari District. Authorities immediately ...
30.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternAt approximately 05:43 on 30 September 2026, a drone penetrated Moldovan sovereign airspace during a massive Russian aerial attack on Ukraine. Police had received a report minutes ...
30.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn the evening of 30 September 2026, a drone believed to be a Russian jet-powered Geran-4 entered Moldovan airspace and crashed near Brănești in Orhei District, after colliding wit...
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