The Everywhere War

Sub-Threshold Warfare Tracker

An interactive database documenting military provocations, sabotage acts, cyberattacks, and other hybrid operations targeting European nations since 2022, based on verified open-source intelligence. It tracks Russia’s “everywhere war” – a dispersed campaign of sub-threshold warfare whose growing footprint can no longer be ignored. Each incident, taken in isolation, forms part of a wider strategy of the Russian Federation that steadily erodes security across the entire continent.

  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

SABOTAGE
0
0
/ 0
Sabotage against critical infrastructure
0
/ 0
Sabotage against economic/industrial targets
0
/ 0
Sabotage against military targets
MARITIME
0
0
/ 0
Maritime intrusion – Shadow fleet or suspicious commercial vessels
0
Maritime intrusion – Submarines
0
Maritime intrusion – Warships
AIRSPACE
0
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Aircrafts
0
/ 0
Airspace violation – Drones
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Missiles
CYBER / EW / SPACE
0
0
/ 0
Jamming and spoofing
0
/ 0
Major cyber attack
0
/ 0
Hostile space activities
POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
0
0
Forward military construction
0
War rehearsal / Military exercises
0
Relocation of nuclear weapons
0
Transfer of conventional weapons and forces
0
Illegal border crossings by Russians and weaponization of migration
Country
All
Country
Incident Type
Attribution
Date Range
Date Range
Year - slider
2022 — 2026
Show Country Layers
  • Officially attributed
  • Fitting the pattern
0 0 0 incidents
  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

Moldova
Officially attributed
Russian drone explodes in Moldovan airspace.
Romania
Fitting the pattern
Explosive drone crashes and detonates on farmland near Gropeni in Romania.
Romania
Fitting the pattern
Aerial target enters Romania near Ceatalchioi and remains inside airspace for about ten minutes.
Romania
Fitting the pattern
Unidentified aerial target enters Romanian airspace near Chilia Veche and disappears near Pardina.
Lithuania, Poland
Officially attributed
NATO fighters intercept Russian Su-24 operating from Kaliningrad without transponder, flight plan or radio contact.
Romania
Officially attributed
Drone enters Romanian airspace from Ukraine and crashes near Solca, Suceava County.
Incidents per month

604 incidents matched. Countries: All countries. Incident types: All incident types. Attribution status: Officially attributed, Fitting the pattern. Date range: January 15, 2022 to September 30, 2026. Grouped by month.

Incident Type
Attribution
DateCountryTypeAttributionDescriptionSource
30.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn the evening of 30 September 2026, a drone believed to be a Russian jet-powered Geran-4 entered Moldovan airspace and crashed near Brănești in Orhei District, after colliding wit...
27.09.2026
Romania
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn 29 September 2026, Romanian authorities discovered a crater and drone wreckage on agricultural land on Insula Mare a Brăilei near Gropeni. A resident had reported an object fall...
27.09.2026
Romania
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn the evening of 27 September 2026, Romanian radar detected an aerial target north of Chilia Veche while it was still over Ukrainian territory close to the Romanian border. Two Ro...
26.09.2026
Romania
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn the night of 26 September 2026, Romanian military radar detected an aerial target moving near Chilia Veche along the Danube border with Ukraine. According to the Ministry of Nat...
26.09.2026
Lithuania, Poland
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 26 September 2026, NATO Baltic Air Policing fighters intercepted a Russian Su-24 tactical aircraft flying from Kaliningrad Oblast into international airspace before returning to...
24.09.2026
Romania
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn the morning of 24 September 2026, Romanian military radar detected an aerial target operating over Ukrainian territory near Romania’s northern border and subsequently confirmed ...
24.09.2026
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedNATO fighters responded to a second, separately identifiable Russian formation consisting of one Su-35, two Su-30M2 fighters and one Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft. Unlike the forma...
24.09.2026
Estonia, Finland, Sweden
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 24 September 2026, NATO and Nordic Quick Reaction Alert aircraft intercepted a comparatively large Russian formation travelling through international airspace from Kaliningrad t...
24.09.2026
Latvia
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternOn 24 September 2026, Latvia’s State Border Guard reported that the construction of smart surveillance infrastructure along the country’s eastern border with Russia and Belarus had...
24.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternMoldovan police discovered the wreckage of a UAV in Florești District on 24 September 2026, and experts found that its characteristics were consistent with a Russian Gerbera-type d...
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