The Everywhere War

Sub-Threshold Warfare Tracker

An interactive database documenting military provocations, sabotage acts, cyberattacks, and other hybrid operations targeting European nations since 2022, based on verified open-source intelligence. It tracks Russia’s “everywhere war” – a dispersed campaign of sub-threshold warfare whose growing footprint can no longer be ignored. Each incident, taken in isolation, forms part of a wider strategy of the Russian Federation that steadily erodes security across the entire continent.

  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

SABOTAGE
0
0
/ 0
Sabotage against critical infrastructure
0
/ 0
Sabotage against economic/industrial targets
0
/ 0
Sabotage against military targets
MARITIME
0
0
/ 0
Maritime intrusion – Shadow fleet or suspicious commercial vessels
0
Maritime intrusion – Submarines
0
Maritime intrusion – Warships
AIRSPACE
0
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Aircrafts
0
/ 0
Airspace violation – Drones
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Missiles
CYBER / EW / SPACE
0
0
/ 0
Jamming and spoofing
0
/ 0
Major cyber attack
0
/ 0
Hostile space activities
POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
0
0
Forward military construction
0
War rehearsal / Military exercises
0
Relocation of nuclear weapons
0
Transfer of conventional weapons and forces
0
Illegal border crossings by Russians and weaponization of migration
Country
All
Country
Incident Type
Attribution
Date Range
Date Range
Year - slider
2022 — 2026
Show Country Layers
  • Officially attributed
  • Fitting the pattern
0 0 0 incidents
  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

Lithuania, Poland
Officially attributed
NATO fighters intercept Russian Su-24 operating from Kaliningrad without transponder, flight plan or radio contact.
Romania
Officially attributed
Drone enters Romanian airspace from Ukraine and crashes near Solca, Suceava County.
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
Officially attributed
Separate Russian Su-35, Su-30M2 and Il-20 formation intercepted after departing Kaliningrad.
Estonia, Finland, Sweden
Officially attributed
Finnish, Swedish and NATO fighters identify large Russian military formation over the Gulf of Finland.
Latvia
Fitting the pattern
Cables cut and surveillance poles damaged on Latvian Estern Border.
Moldova
Fitting the pattern
Drone wreckage with mounted camera found near Floresti by Moldovan police.
Incidents per month

589 incidents matched. Countries: All countries. Incident types: All incident types. Attribution status: Officially attributed, Fitting the pattern. Date range: January 15, 2022 to September 26, 2026. Grouped by month.

Incident Type
Attribution
DateCountryTypeAttributionDescriptionSource
26.09.2026
Lithuania, Poland
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 26 September 2026, NATO Baltic Air Policing fighters intercepted a Russian Su-24 tactical aircraft flying from Kaliningrad Oblast into international airspace before returning to...
24.09.2026
Romania
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn the morning of 24 September 2026, Romanian military radar detected an aerial target operating over Ukrainian territory near Romania’s northern border and subsequently confirmed ...
24.09.2026
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedNATO fighters responded to a second, separately identifiable Russian formation consisting of one Su-35, two Su-30M2 fighters and one Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft. Unlike the forma...
24.09.2026
Estonia, Finland, Sweden
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 24 September 2026, NATO and Nordic Quick Reaction Alert aircraft intercepted a comparatively large Russian formation travelling through international airspace from Kaliningrad t...
24.09.2026
Latvia
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternOn 24 September 2026, Latvia’s State Border Guard reported that the construction of smart surveillance infrastructure along the country’s eastern border with Russia and Belarus had...
24.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternMoldovan police discovered the wreckage of a UAV in Florești District on 24 September 2026, and experts found that its characteristics were consistent with a Russian Gerbera-type d...
24.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn 24 September 2026, fragments of a drone were discovered in Moldova’s Briceni district, about 1.7 km from the state border, after the aircraft apparently exploded around 10 metre...
23.09.2026
Poland
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternA Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, Poland, which provides satellite internet connectivity to Ukraine, caught fire, with firefighters reportedly suspecting that the fire w...
23.09.2026
Poland
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 23 September 2026, Poland accused a Russian military helicopter of violating Polish airspace, with the aircraft reportedly remaining inside Polish territory for approximately 42...
22.09.2026
Poland
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 22 September 2026, Polish fighter aircraft intercepted a Russian Il-20 reconnaissance aircraft operating over the Baltic Sea approximately 40 km from the Polish coast. Defence M...
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