The Everywhere War

Sub-Threshold Warfare Tracker

An interactive database documenting military provocations, sabotage acts, cyberattacks, and other hybrid operations targeting European nations since 2022, based on verified open-source intelligence. It tracks Russia’s “everywhere war” – a dispersed campaign of sub-threshold warfare whose growing footprint can no longer be ignored. Each incident, taken in isolation, forms part of a wider strategy of the Russian Federation that steadily erodes security across the entire continent.

  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

SABOTAGE
0
0
/ 0
Sabotage against critical infrastructure
0
/ 0
Sabotage against economic/industrial targets
0
/ 0
Sabotage against military targets
MARITIME
0
0
/ 0
Maritime intrusion – Shadow fleet or suspicious commercial vessels
0
Maritime intrusion – Submarines
0
Maritime intrusion – Warships
AIRSPACE
0
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Aircrafts
0
/ 0
Airspace violation – Drones
0
/ 0
Airspace violation - Missiles
CYBER / EW / SPACE
0
0
/ 0
Jamming and spoofing
0
/ 0
Major cyber attack
0
/ 0
Hostile space activities
POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
0
0
Forward military construction
0
War rehearsal / Military exercises
0
Relocation of nuclear weapons
0
Transfer of conventional weapons and forces
0
Illegal border crossings by Russians and weaponization of migration
Country
All
Country
Incident Type
Attribution
Date Range
Date Range
Year - slider
2022 — 2026
Show Country Layers
  • Officially attributed
  • Fitting the pattern
0 0 0 incidents
  • Officially attributed to Russian operations by government officials or intelligence agencies

  • Fitting the pattern of Russian activity but have not been formally attributed

Latvia
Fitting the pattern
Cables cut and surveillance poles damaged on Latvian Estern Border.
Moldova
Fitting the pattern
Drone wreckage with mounted camera found near Floresti by Moldovan police.
Moldova
Fitting the pattern
Another drone debris found in Northern Moldova.
Poland
Fitting the pattern
Starlink station, critical for Ukrainian internet access, set on fire near Warsaw.
Poland
Officially attributed
Russian military helicopter violated Polish airspace.
Luxembourg
Fitting the pattern
Luxembourg Airport operations halted due to incursion by drones of unknown origin.
Incidents per month

542 incidents matched. Countries: All countries. Incident types: All incident types. Attribution status: Officially attributed, Fitting the pattern. Date range: January 15, 2022 to September 24, 2026. Grouped by month.

Incident Type
Attribution
DateCountryTypeAttributionDescriptionSource
24.09.2026
Latvia
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternOn 24 September 2026, Latvia’s State Border Guard reported that the construction of smart surveillance infrastructure along the country’s eastern border with Russia and Belarus had...
24.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternMoldovan police discovered the wreckage of a UAV in Florești District on 24 September 2026, and experts found that its characteristics were consistent with a Russian Gerbera-type d...
24.09.2026
Moldova
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn 24 September 2026, fragments of a drone were discovered in Moldova’s Briceni district, about 1.7 km from the state border, after the aircraft apparently exploded around 10 metre...
23.09.2026
Poland
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternA Starlink ground station in Wola Krobowska, Poland, which provides satellite internet connectivity to Ukraine, caught fire, with firefighters reportedly suspecting that the fire w...
23.09.2026
Poland
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 23 September 2026, Poland accused a Russian military helicopter of violating Polish airspace, with the aircraft reportedly remaining inside Polish territory for approximately 42...
18.09.2026
Luxembourg
AIRSPACE
Fitting the patternOn 18 September 2026, Luxembourg Airport temporarily suspended all flight operations after unidentified and unauthorised drones were visually spotted in the airspace over Findel. T...
16.09.2026
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn June 12, NATO fighter jets were scrambled to intercept a Russian SU-34 fighter aircraft flying to and from Kaliningrad through international airspace. The aircraft's transponder...
15.09.2026
Netherlands
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternOn 15 September 2026, a major disruption affected the Dutch railway network during the morning rush hour after materials were found deliberately placed on railway tracks at 24 loca...
15.09.2026
Denmark
AIRSPACE
Officially attributedOn 14 September 2026, a Danish Fennec military helicopter conducting a routine surveillance mission over international waters near Gedser was targeted by a Russian frigate, which f...
11.09.2026
Bulgaria
SABOTAGE
Fitting the patternOn 11 September 2026, a fire broke out at an EMCO munitions storage facility near Tsareva Livada, Bulgaria, which stores ammunition used in Ukraine. Employees were evacuated, no ca...
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