The Everywhere War

Sub-Threshold Warfare Tracker

An interactive database documenting military provocations, sabotage acts, cyberattacks, and other hybrid operations targeting European nations since 2022, based on verified open-source intelligence. It tracks Russia’s “everywhere war” – a dispersed campaign of sub-threshold warfare whose growing footprint can no longer be ignored. Each incident, taken in isolation, forms part of a wider strategy of the Russian Federation that steadily erodes security across the entire continent.

POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
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Construction of new bases at the borders
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Military Drills
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Relocation of nuclear warheads and launchers
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Transfer of troops
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Transfer of weapons / military systems
SABOTAGE
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0
Sabotage against critical infrastructure
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Sabotage against economic/industrial targets
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Sabotage against military targets
MARITIME
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Maritime intrusion – Shadow fleet or suspicious commercial vessels
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Maritime intrusion – Submarines
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Maritime intrusion – Warships
AIRSPACE
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Airspace violation - Aircrafts
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Airspace violation – Drones
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Airspace violation - Missiles
CYBER
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0
Electronic warfare
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Significant cyberattack
Country
Incident Type
Date Range
Date Range
Year - slider
2022 2026
Show Country Layers
0 incidents
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
Rafales intercept Russian Tu-154B near NATO Baltic airspace.
Estonia
Portuguese F-16s escort Russian Il-76, Il-78 and Il-20M near Baltic NATO airspace.
Sweden
Swedish Gripens conduct two interceptions of Russian Su-24 and Su-34 aircraft near Swedish airspace.
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
NATO intercepts Russian Su-34, Su-24MR, Su-30 and An-30 near the Baltic states.
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania, Poland
Russian naval drills in the Baltic Sea during NATO BALTOPS exercise.
Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania
NATO responds to Russian Il-20 and possible Su-34 / Su-30SM activity near Kaliningrad.
Incidents per month

380 incidents matched. Countries: All countries. Incident types: All incident types. Date range: January 15, 2022 to June 25, 2026. Grouped by month.

Incident Type
DateCountryTypeDescriptionSource
25.06.2026
AIRSPACE
NATO reported several separate air-policing scrambles near allied airspace. One of the new incidents involved French Rafale fighters deployed at Šiauliai, Lithuania, intercepting a...
24.06.2026
AIRSPACE
NATO air-policing cluster, Portuguese F-16s deployed to Ämari, Estonia, escorted several Russian aircraft near NATO airspace. The aircraft reportedly included an Il-76 transport ai...
13.06.2026
AIRSPACE
The Swedish Air Force’s Quick Reaction Alert conducted two scrambles with JAS 39 Gripen fighter jets. The scrambles were launched to intercept Russian military aircraft over the Ba...
10.06.2026
AIRSPACE
NATO Baltic Air Policing aircraft were scrambled to intercept several Russian military aircraft operating around the Kaliningrad corridor. The first scramble involved one Su-34 and...
08.06.2026
Military Drills
Russia conducted naval drills in the Baltic Sea during NATO’s BALTOPS exercise. Russian forces practised unguided missile launches, bombing runs, and simulated missile strikes. The...
04.06.2026
AIRSPACE
NATO fighter jets were scrambled several times in response to Russian or suspected Russian aircraft activity near the Baltic states. One alert concerned a potential Su-34 flying fr...
03.06.2026
AIRSPACE
Latvia and Estonia issued overnight security warnings in regions bordering Russia because of suspected drone activity. Latvian authorities said NATO scrambled fighter jets in respo...
02.06.2026
AIRSPACE
French Rafale fighters deployed at Šiauliai Air Base in Lithuania scrambled to intercept and escort six Russian military aircraft operating in NATO’s Baltic area of responsibility....
01.06.2026
AIRSPACE
NATO Baltic Air Policing fighter jets were scrambled to identify and escort two Russian Su-30 aircraft flying from Kaliningrad and back through international airspace. The aircraft...
30.05.2026
AIRSPACE
French Rafale fighter jets deployed in Lithuania under NATO Baltic Air Policing intercepted two Russian Su-30SM fighters in the Baltic region. Defence Blog, citing France’s Armed F...
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