The Everywhere War

Sub-Threshold Warfare Tracker

An interactive database documenting military provocations, sabotage acts, cyberattacks, and other hybrid operations targeting European nations since 2022, based on verified open-source intelligence. It tracks Russia’s “everywhere war” – a dispersed campaign of sub-threshold warfare whose growing footprint can no longer be ignored. Each incident, taken in isolation, forms part of a wider strategy of the Russian Federation that steadily erodes security across the entire continent.

AIRSPACE
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Airspace violation - Aircrafts
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Airspace violation – Drones
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Airspace violation - Missiles
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CYBER
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Significant cyberattack
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MARITIME
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Maritime intrusion – Shadow fleet or suspicious commercial vessels
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Maritime intrusion – Submarines
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Maritime intrusion – Warships
0
POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
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Construction of new bases at the borders
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Military Drills
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Relocation of nuclear warheads and launchers
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Transfer of troops
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Transfer of weapons / military systems
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SABOTAGE
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Sabotage against critical infrastructure
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Sabotage against economic/industrial targets
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Sabotage against military targets
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Country
Incident Type
Date Range
Date Range
Year - slider
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0 incidents
Estonia
Russian border guards cross into Estonian territory on the Narva River, sparking a NATO border provocation.
Netherlands
Two fighter jets were dispatched to intercept an unknown drone
Ireland
Two Russian drones violated a no-fly zone during President Volodymyr Zelensky’s visit to Dublin
Lithuania
Belorussia air balloons caused temporarily shut-down of the Vilnius International Airport
Romania
Russian drone pass over Romania
United Kingdom
Russian “spy ship” Yantar directs lasers at UK patrol aircraft.
Incident Type
DateCountryTypeDescriptionSource
17.12.2025Estonia
Three Russian border guards aboard a hovercraft were detected by Estonian surveillance equipment entering Estonian territory along the Narva River — a shared border waterway — and ...
07.12.2025Netherlands
AIRSPACE
On the morning of 7 December 2025, two Royal Netherlands Air Force F-35 fighter jets were scrambled to intercept an unknown flying object that had entered the country's airspace an...
01.12.2025Ireland
AIRSPACE
European Council President Antonio Costa on Tuesday accused Russia of being responsible for the appearance of drones in Ireland’s skies during a state visit by President Volodymyr ...
01.12.2025Lithuania
AIRSPACE
On the night of 30 November to 1 December, Vilnius International Airport temporarily suspended operations due to the appearance of Belarusian air balloons in its airspace. The shut...
25.11.2025Romania
AIRSPACE
On the night of November 25, while Russia was conducting a massive air strike against Ukraine, one of the Shaheds violated Romanian airspace. Nevertheless, Romanian air forces had ...
19.11.2025United Kingdom
MARITIME
Britain’s Defence Secretary John Healey warned that the Russian intelligence-gathering ship Yantar was operating near Scotland and had pointed laser devices at Royal Air Force pilo...
17.11.2025Romania
AIRSPACE
Romania ordered the precautionary evacuation of about 15 residents in Plauru after a nighttime Russian drone attack on Ukraine’s Reni port (just across the Danube River) struck a T...
17.11.2025Poland
SABOTAGE
Poland reported an “unprecedented act of sabotage” after an overnight explosion blew up tracks on the Warsaw-Lublin railroad – a vital supply line funneling Western arms and aid to...
10.11.2025France
AIRSPACE
An unidentified drones was sighted for three times over a gunpowder plant on 10 and 12 of November. The factory, located in the Bergerac commune and capable of producing 1,200 tons...
31.10.2025Poland
AIRSPACE
In late October 2025, the Polish Air Force announced that its MiG-29 fighters intercepted a Russian military reconnaissance plane (an Il-20) over the Baltic Sea for the third time ...
29.10.2025United States of America
MARITIME
The U.S. Coast Guard announced it had detected a Russian Navy Vishnya-class intelligence ship, the Kareliya, operating just off Hawaii’s coast in late October. A Coast Guard HC-130...
23.10.2025Lithuania
AIRSPACE
On the evening of 23 October 2025, Lithuania’s President Gitanas Nausėda announced that two Russian military aircraft had briefly entered Lithuanian airspace, describing the incurs...
21.10.2025Romania
SABOTAGE
Romania’s national intelligence service (SRI) announced on 21 October 2025 that it had disrupted a sabotage operation “directly coordinated” by Russian intelligence services. Accor...
21.10.2025Romania, Poland
SABOTAGE
Polish and Romanian security services announced that eight individuals were detained in joint operations for suspected preparation of sabotage activities on behalf of Russian intel...
21.10.2025Germany
MARITIME
In October 2025, the German Navy conducted one of its largest maritime firing exercises in decades in the Norwegian Sea, deploying multiple warships, corvettes, a submarine, and co...
17.10.2025Estonia
AIRSPACE
During the evening of 17 October 2025, Estonian defence and allied authorities reported two small unmanned aerial vehicles operating near the Camp Reedo military base; one of the d...
13.10.2025France
MARITIME
According to Western and French sources, a Russian attack submarine—believed to be the Novorossiysk (Project 636.3) of the Russian Black Sea Fleet—surfaced off the coast of Brittan...
11.10.2025Netherlands
MARITIME
The Royal Netherlands Navy confirmed that it escorted the Russian Kilo-class submarine K‑560 Novorossiysk, accompanied by the tugboat Yakov Grebelskiy, through the Dutch portion of...
10.10.2025Poland
CYBER
Polish digital-affairs minister Krzysztof Gawkowski revealed on 10 October that Poland had detected a sharp uptick in cyberattacks on its critical infrastructure this year, attribu...
10.10.2025Estonia
POTENTIAL MILITARY THREATS
A unit of about 10 masked, camouflaged soldiers was seen standing in the middle of the road in the Russian territory slice known as the Saatse Boot on 10 October, prompting the Est...
09.10.2025Estonia
AIRSPACE
According to Estonian Defence Forces radar footage and a press briefing by the Ministry of Defence, a “small airborne object” was detected in Estonian air-space on the afternoon of...
03.10.2025Germany
AIRSPACE
German investigators are examining whether a Russian cargo vessel operating in the Baltic Sea was used as a launch base for drone flights that penetrated German airspace over the S...
02.10.2025Poland
MARITIME
Polish Border Guard authorities reported that a Russian-flagged fishing vessel, believed to be part of Russia’s “shadow fleet” engaged in sanctions‐evasion logistics, was detected ...
02.10.2025Lithuania, Poland, Germany
SABOTAGE
Authorities in Poland believe that agents of the GRU (Russian military intelligence) prepared a series of sabotage operations which also targeted Lithuania and Germany. Among the i...
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